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50 Bold Predictions: Some Hit, Some Hilariously Missed

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From ancient oracles and royal astrologers to scientists, gamblers, and cartoon writers, people have always tried to call the future. Some of these bold predictions hit the bullseye with eerie accuracy, while others missed so badly they are now punchlines. In this list, we look at 50 times someone stuck their neck out about tomorrow – and history decided whether they were a visionary, lucky guesser, or gloriously wrong.

1 Baba Vanga’s Secondhand Prophecies Debate

Baba Vanga's Secondhand Prophecies Debate

Most of the predictions attributed to Bulgarian mystic Baba Vanga (1911-1996) were not written down by her during her life. There are no verified contemporary written records of her prophecies, only later compilations by devotees and the media. Because of this, scholars still debate which predictions she actually made and which ones were added later, exaggerated, or wrongly attributed to her. Modern lists of her supposed forecasts often mix claims about major global events with several predictions that sources have shown to be false, keeping the controversy around her legacy alive.


2. Andre Agassi says he won 10 of 11 of his tennis matches against Boris Becker after spotting a tiny “tell” in Becker’s serve. During their matches in the late 1980s and 1990s, Agassi realized that when Becker stuck his tongue out in the middle of his lip, he would serve one way, and when he shifted it toward the left corner, he would serve another. Agassi used this cue to predict the direction of Becker’s booming serve without letting on that he knew the secret. Years later, after both men had retired, Agassi finally told Becker about the tongue signal over a pint of beer.


3. In the mid-1990s, Ethernet inventor Robert Metcalfe loudly predicted that the internet would suffer a catastrophic collapse in 1996 and even promised to eat his words if it did not. The year passed without the predicted meltdown, and by 1997 his failed forecast had become an embarrassment. To make good on his promise, Metcalfe took a printed copy of his doom-laden column, blended it with liquid, and turned it into a drinkable pulp. He then consumed the mixture in public, literally eating his words.


4. One reason President Lyndon B. Johnson chose not to run for reelection in 1968 was a longevity study he commissioned that predicted he would die at 64, raising doubts that he could survive a second full term. Johnson, who had already suffered serious heart problems, reportedly took the forecast seriously as he weighed his political future. He left office on January 20, 1969, after serving one term in his own right. On January 22, 1973, just two days after what would have been the end of a second term, he died at age 64.


5. In the late 17th and early 18th centuries, physicist Isaac Newton also immersed himself in biblical prophecy and occult studies alongside his famous scientific work. Using complex calculations based on the Book of Daniel and other religious texts, he estimated that the end of the world as we know it would occur around the year 2060. Newton did not imagine total annihilation, but rather the end of the current historical order. He believed that afterward humanity would enter a new era of divinely guided peace.


6 Varro’s Invisible Germs Swamp Warning

Varro's Invisible Germs Swamp Warning

Over 2000 years ago, Roman scholar Marcus Terentius Varro warned that “there are bred certain minute creatures which cannot be seen by the eyes, but which float in the air and enter the body through the mouth and nose and cause serious diseases.” Writing in his work on agriculture, he used this idea to caution against building near swamps and unhealthy marshland. Varro imagined invisible, airborne agents of illness and the basic concept behind germ theory long before microscopes or laboratory science existed.


7. In 1863, Jules Verne wrote a novel called “Paris in the Twentieth Century” that imagined a future city filled with gas-powered cars, electric street lighting, maglev-style high-speed trains, fax-like communication, a record industry, and something resembling the internet. His publisher rejected the manuscript as pessimistic and artistically weak, so it went into storage instead of print. The book remained unknown for more than a century until Verne’s great-grandson discovered the manuscript in a safe in 1989. It was finally published in 1994.


8. In January 1992, The Simpsons aired an episode titled “Lisa the Greek,” in which Lisa predicts the outcome of that year’s Super Bowl just three days before the game. The episode originally referenced the upcoming matchup and ended up correctly calling the winner. When the show rebroadcast the episode in 1993 and 1995, producers redubbed lines to match the new Super Bowl teams for those years. Each time, the altered version again predicted the correct winner.


9. In 1846, astronomers noticed that Uranus kept drifting off its predicted orbit, suggesting that something massive was tugging on it from the outer solar system. Mathematicians like Urbain Le Verrier and John Couch Adams used Newton’s laws of gravitation to predict where an unseen planet should be to cause that wobble. On September 23, 1846, Johann Galle at the Berlin Observatory pointed a telescope to the predicted spot and found Neptune almost exactly where the math said it would be.


10. In January 1986, engineer Roger Boisjoly, working for NASA contractor Morton Thiokol on the space shuttle Challenger, predicted that the booster rocket O-rings could fail in the unusually cold launch conditions. He and several colleagues urged managers in a prelaunch teleconference to delay the mission because the rubber seals had already shown problems in lower temperatures. Despite their warnings, NASA ultimately approved the launch for January 28, 1986. The O-rings failed shortly after liftoff, Challenger broke apart, and Boisjoly later became a key whistleblower on how his prediction and safety concerns were ignored.


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11 Oscar The Death-Predicting Nursing-Home Cat

Oscar The Death-Predicting Nursing-Home Cat

Oscar the therapy cat became known in a Rhode Island nursing home for accurately predicting deaths by curling up next to residents in their final hours. After he correctly anticipated about 25 deaths, staff began to take his presence seriously and notified family members whenever Oscar chose a new bedside companion.


12. In the early 1990s, Spanish gambler Gonzalo Garcia-Pelayo began recording thousands of roulette results at a casino in Spain and feeding them into a computer. His analysis indicated that certain numbers came up more often than pure chance allowed, revealing a biased wheel that gave him a statistical edge. Garcia-Pelayo used this information to target his bets and eventually won about €600,000 from the casino. When the casino took him to court, the case failed, and the ruling held that the casino should fix its own wheel rather than punish a player for exploiting its flaw.


13. Ettore Majorana, an Italian theoretical physicist, predicted the existence of both the neutron and the neutrino before his mysterious disappearance in 1938. In 1932, after Irène Joliot-Curie and Frédéric Joliot reported puzzling radiation from beryllium, Majorana interpreted their results as evidence for a new neutral particle with roughly the mass of a proton, effectively predicting the neutron before James Chadwick confirmed it experimentally later that year. In March 1938, at age 31, he disappeared during a trip from Palermo to Naples and was never conclusively found, leaving both his particle insights and his fate as enduring mysteries in the history of physics.


14. In 1976, Pat Robertson, a televangelist with a reported net worth of about 100 million dollars, predicted the end of the world in November 1982. When that failed, he tried again in his 1990 book “The New Millennium,” declaring that the world would be destroyed on April 29, 2007. Both dates passed without an apocalypse.


15. In 1990, a man named Iben Browning, who had no formal seismology training, publicly predicted that a massive earthquake would strike the New Madrid, Missouri, area on December 3 of that year. His claim triggered widespread anxiety across the central United States, as residents feared a repeat of the historic New Madrid quakes of the early 1800s. Schools in at least five states closed as a precaution, and more than 200 media outlets sent reporters to the region to cover the expected disaster. The day passed without any significant seismic activity.


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16 Gottman’s Bird Test Divorce Prediction

Gottman's Bird Test Divorce Prediction

In a long-running study at the University of Washington’s “Love Lab,” psychologist researchers observed newlywed couples and then followed up with them six years later to see who stayed married and who divorced. They focused on tiny “bids” for connection, like one partner saying, “Look at that beautiful bird,” and watched whether the other turned toward the remark or brushed it off. Couples who remained happily married turned toward these bids about 86 percent of the time, while those who later divorced did so only about 33 percent of the time. Gottman accurately predicted couples’ fates using this response pattern.


17. In the mid-2000s, Netflix researchers coined the term “Napoleon Dynamite Problem” after struggling to get their movie-recommendation algorithms to handle quirky films like Napoleon Dynamite, Lost in Translation, and I Heart Huckabees. Data from user ratings showed that viewers tended to either love or hate these offbeat movies, with very few in the middle, which confused systems built to spot clear patterns. This extreme polarization made it challenging for Netflix’s collaborative-filtering models to reliably predict whether a new viewer would enjoy them.


18. Aglaonice of Thessaly was an ancient Greek sorceress, famed along with her coven of women for their supposed ability to “draw down the moon.” Ancient stories claimed she could make the moon disappear on command, enhancing her reputation as a powerful witch. In reality, Aglaonice and her female acolytes were likely skilled astronomers who had learned to predict lunar eclipses from careful sky watching.


19. In 1899, Belgian race car driver Camille Jenatzy became the first person to break the 100 km/h land speed record and later predicted that he would die in a Mercedes. During a hunting trip in 1913, he hid behind a bush and began making animal noises as a prank on his friends. One of them, thinking he was game, accidentally shot him. Jenatzy was placed in a Mercedes to be rushed to the hospital, where he died from his wounds, eerily fulfilling his own prediction.


20. During World War II, the U.S. Office of Strategic Services asked psychoanalyst Walter C. Langer and his team to produce a secret report on Adolf Hitler’s personality and predict his future behavior. In late 1943 or early 1944, they predicted that as the war turned against Germany, Hitler’s emotions would intensify, his angry outbursts would become more frequent, and his public appearances would grow rare because he could not face a critical audience. As Germany’s military situation collapsed, Hitler largely withdrew from mass rallies and appeared less often in public, while accounts from his inner circle described increasingly volatile rages.


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21 Jehovah’s Witnesses’ Serial Apocalypse Predictions

Jehovah's Witnesses' Serial Apocalypse Predictions

Jehovah’s Witnesses have publicly predicted the end of the world multiple times, including 1914, 1918, 1925, and 1975, and later taught that Armageddon would arrive before the generation that witnessed 1914 passed away. In the early 1920s, the booklet “Millions Now Living Will Never Die” claimed that Old Testament patriarchs such as Abraham and David would be resurrected to earthly life in 1925; when that did not happen, leaders eventually acknowledged the date as a mistake. Anticipation around 1975 as a likely time for Christ’s millennial reign fueled a surge in preaching activity and membership growth, but after the year passed without the predicted global upheaval, growth rates fell and thousands of members left or became inactive. Taken together, critics count around 20 failed end-times forecasts.


22. In October 1903, the New York Times ran an article predicting that it might take humanity from 1 to 10 million years to develop a practical flying machine. The assessment reflected how many experts still saw powered flight as a distant dream at the start of the 20th century. Just 69 days later, on December 17, 1903, Orville and Wilbur Wright achieved the first successful powered, controlled flight in North Carolina.


23. In 1945, fresh from winning the Nobel Prize for discovering penicillin, Alexander Fleming told The New York Times that careless use of the drug could breed bacteria that no longer responded to it. He explained that underdosing or overusing penicillin would kill off vulnerable germs and leave the hardier ones to survive and multiply. Within about 10 years, scientists started to report penicillin-resistant infections, just as Fleming had warned.


24. When future U.S. president Herbert Hoover was born in 1874, his father, a rural Iowan blacksmith, proudly announced, “We have another General Grant at our house!” in honor of the Civil War hero then serving as president. Hoover’s father did not live to see whether his bold comparison would come true, dying nearly fifty years before his son entered national office.


25. Shortly after Pulp Fiction came out in 1994, Steven Spielberg invited Quentin Tarantino on a hunting trip, and Spielberg predicted that Tarantino would win the Oscar for Best Screenplay, while Robert Zemeckis would win the Oscar for Best Director. At the 67th Academy Awards in 1995, Tarantino and Roger Avary took home the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay for Pulp Fiction, and Zemeckis won Best Director for Forrest Gump.


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10 COMMENTS

  1. RE: Fact #29 (Eisenhower’s Holocaust Denial Prediction Safeguard) – Maybe back then Turks were already denying the Armenian genocide and he just didn’t want that to happen too.

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  2. RE: Fact #40 (Mohan Srivastava’s Scratch-Off Lottery Hack) – I get that winning scratch tickets isn’t really worth much, but it’s just a funny thought that winning the lottery wouldn’t take up his time.

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    • He said he’d make about 600 a day. That adds up to around 150k, so his job must pay way better. His job is basically where a mining company would set up a multi-million dollar operation. He’s in a very specific actuarial science, so I’m guessing it’s double or triple that maybe.

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      • His first thought when he saw the flaw was “I’m gonna be rich!” If he makes 300k a year and doesn’t see himself as rich or think he’ll become rich, then maybe he’s not that good with numbers.

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  3. RE: Fact #29 (Eisenhower’s Holocaust Denial Prediction Safeguard) – And yet, with all the photographic evidence we have, people still deny it. It’s insane.

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    • The only thing I need to know is that the Germans don’t deny it. Same goes for the moon landing — if the Russians say it happened, it fu*king happened.

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      • Add to that, Holocaust denial is a criminal offense in Germany and can get you up to five years in jail. Edit: Just a few quick clarifications. I knew if this comment got any upvotes, it’d spark the usual debates. Especially for Americans, this feels like censorship. And I’d be wrong to deny that. Yeah, it’s censorship. And yeah, there’s a real danger of a slippery slope. But the law’s been around for over 30 years now, and I haven’t heard anything negative about how it’s actually enforced. Free speech is mostly a cultural thing in my view. Some countries care way more about it than others. The US is especially obsessed with protecting it. Most countries have some kind of law against hate speech or other harmful content. If you grow up in one of those places, you don’t even think about it. I can’t imagine any good reason why allowing Holocaust denial would ever make sense. My opinion is a bit clouded because I’m almost as old as the law we’re talking about. So that’s it. I fully agree that a slippery slope is a real risk when passing new laws. But I still think it’s a small price to pay. Stuff like WBC just wouldn’t fly here, and I’m not sorry for that. If anyone thinks there’s a free speech problem in Germany, I can at least say we still have a vocal Nazi party. Parliament couldn’t declare them unconstitutional back in 2003. There’s been a new motion since 2013, and they seem pretty confident they’ll win this time because losing a trial would probably give the Nazis more legitimacy than the other parties want.

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      • The Russians had all the tech they needed to pick up our radio signals, could easily figure out where they were coming from, the timing, everything. They knew for sure it was real, and would’ve thrown out hard scientific proof if it weren’t. Fact is, we had the tech to get to the moon and back, but not the tech to fake it.

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    • If someone denies the holocaust, they should be required to read every paragraph and watch every video in the D.C. Holocaust museum. That stuff is heavy.

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    • Seriously, who hides in a bush making animal sounds just to get shot? That sounds less like a prophecy and more like asking for it, if you ask me.

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      • But really, hunters aren’t supposed to just fire at noises. You’re meant to actually see your target and feel confident about making the shot before pulling the trigger. Loads of people use turkey or deer calls while hunting, and most don’t end up getting shot.

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  4. RE: Fact #38 (Paul The Octopus’ Cup Predictions) – I thought it was Dutch fans because they lost the final. Dutch TV was all cooking shows, like cooking an octopus.

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  5. RE: Fact #37 (Dorothy Eady’s Abydos Temple Predictions) – I’m not saying I don’t believe reincarnation could be real, but if it is, I don’t think our past memories are stored somewhere in the brain or locked inside our bodies so we can just get hit on the head and suddenly remember them. But maybe I just haven’t hit my head hard enough, I guess.

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  6. RE: Fact #19 (Camille Jenatzy’s Mercedes Death Prediction) – Just goes to show, sometimes you don’t need to be quick on your feet to go down fast.

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  7. RE: Fact #8 (Lisa The Greek’s Super Bowl) – I can’t believe I have to tell people this SMH.
    There were two recordings of audio for that episode since the Simpsons were on Sunday night after the Super Bowl they would play the recording that had the winning team , it wasn’t magic or a mystical prediction it was a guy or girl at the studio that played the correct tape

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  8. RE: Fact #16 (Gottman’s Bird Test Divorce Prediction) – My wife really liked this research, but I just found it kinda dumb.

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    • Seems pretty obvious to me. If someone keeps trying to get your attention and you constantly shut them down, they’re gonna feel unappreciated, like you don’t care. That’s just not good for a romantic partnership.

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      • Yeah, that’s definitely a huge part of it, and what most folks in this discussion are really zeroing in on. But the other half is how much you’re truly into whatever makes your partner happy and excited. It’s not really about having stuff in common; it’s more like a team effort. Seeing someone you care about light up with happiness, curiosity, hope, or just feeling satisfied, that’s a win for both of you, right? Sometimes I read these conversations and I’m genuinely surprised that more people don’t get that feeling of shared joy when someone else has a good moment, especially for someone they truly love or care about. If you have that kind of outlook, and your partner does too, then you’ll definitely take that extra second to appreciate those rare moments of pure freedom in life. Those times when you’re not bogged down by all the overwhelming worries of modern living, which usually feel so crushing, draining, and endless. We all get worn down, chipped away to nearly nothing by the grind of everyday existence: boring jobs, unkind people in power, rude strangers, critical bosses, bitter exes, difficult family, unfair regulations, a corrupt system, health problems, mental struggles – honestly, the world can be fu*king HARSH. So yeah, it makes total sense that relationships where these moments aren’t just tolerated, but actually encouraged and shared, are the ones that stick around. Because those are the connections that truly make life feel… worth living.

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    • Nah, I don’t agree… that’s an immediate divorce. If I kinda agree… still a divorce. And if you ignore my comment? Oh, that’s a whole new level of divorce.

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  9. RE: Fact #33 (Winston Churchill’s Lab-Grown Meat Vision) – My thought on this is… when does having an imagination and high hopes actually become prediction? Like, Star Trek kind of predicted smartphones, but it also really inspired them. Same thing with any sci-fi show or movie—no matter how tech-forward they are, they all kind of say, “one day robots will be everywhere.” Honestly, though, that idea about one day just growing our food without killing animals? Feels like something a drunk person would say while trying to get a snack. And Churchill was a drunk, and from what I saw, he loved snacks.

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  10. RE: Fact #15 (Iben Browning’s New Madrid Panic) – That same year, he actually snagged the first ‘Chicken Little Award’ from the National Anxiety Center. They gave it to him for absolutely terrifying people throughout seven states in the Midwest, calling it a really doubtful news item for the year. It really showed how a Ph.D. can let anyone just whip up a bunch of public fear. This guy’s whole story is wild; it truly illustrates how powerful mass hysteria can become.

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  11. RE: Fact #21 (Jehovah’s Witnesses’ Serial Apocalypse Predictions) – It’s easy to zero in on all their failures. But you gotta wonder, how many times did they actually nail it?

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  12. RE: Fact #6 (Varro’s Invisible Germs Swamp Warning) – It’s wild how entire millennia of history can just disappear. It’s as if we’re living it all again. We understand what these ancient people already found out, but we’re still going through it all over. Two thousand years from now, we’ll be advanced, and somewhere, people will be having this exact chat.

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  13. RE: Fact #50 (NY Times’ Failed TV Prediction) – Lol, just read this and realized newspapers have always had this thing where they can’t figure out how valuable or threatening their business model really is. Most recently, the internet and online reporting.

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  14. RE: Fact #22 (Times’ Million-Year Flight Misfire) – Seriously, they gave a timeframe from just one year all the way up to ten million. That’s an enormous window, and yet they still managed to mess it up.

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  15. RE: Fact #45 (Bell’s Early Greenhouse Effect Prediction) – Dont really surprise me. The first paper on human-driven climate change came out in 1896, talked about how industrial carbon dioxide affects temperature. The author figured it’d be a positive thing since he didn’t think we’d hit his 1000-year estimate before 2010.

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  16. RE: Fact #49 (Johannes Stöffler’s 1524 Flood Prediction) – I’m not seeing much about this Count von Iggleheim—actually, I can’t find any Counts of Iggleheim anywhere else besides this fact and the references to it. I’m a bit skeptical. Genealogy was a big deal back then, and public records for noble families are usually pretty solid. The name doesn’t really sound German either. There’s a village called Iggelheim, and as far as I know, it wasn’t named after nobles who used to live there. There’s a real noble house called von Ingelheim, but I don’t see any mention of them being involved in this story. The mathematician, on the other hand, is real and well-known, but I can’t find any link between him and this claim. Also, the part about “a nobleman having him build a three-story ark” is completely made up—it’s just in this fact in here and isn’t supported by the article. And according to the article, if that nobleman existed, he built the ark himself.

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  17. RE: Fact #43 (Rick Rescorla’s Towers Attack Prediction) – That guy was a real hero. I worked at Morgan Stanley in 2001, but not in NY. I knew a lot of people who work in those buildings today because he had his own plan in place instead of going with what others suggested. Nothing special about him, just figured out what to do if something like that ever happened and trained his team to handle it. When the day came, he and his team knew exactly what to do and they pulled it off. And I’d say he anticipated it instead of just predicting it. That sounds like he knew it was coming. He just knew it was coming, not exactly when.

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  18. RE: Fact #33 (Winston Churchill’s Lab-Grown Meat Vision) – Second only to “I may be drunk, miss, but in the morning I will be sober and you’ll still be ugly.”

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  19. RE: Fact #8 (Lisa The Greek’s Super Bowl) – Pretty much everyone’s convinced Matt Groening can travel through time, right?

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  20. RE: Fact #10 (Roger Boisjoly’s Ignored Challenger Warning) – I once saw this guy give a talk when I was in college. He laid out all the proof for how bureaucracy kept them from stopping the launch. As soon as it started, his boss yanked him aside and literally said, “See, nothing’s wrong”… then it blew up. He actually broke down and cried while telling that part, it was clearly so hard for him. Just heartbreaking.

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    • My old boss, who actually worked on the space shuttle program, backed this up. He mentioned that the boosters were initially going to be built really close to the launch pad, since they’re massive and needed to be moved by barge. But Congress stepped in, claiming too many local businesses were getting NASA deals, so they made them give the contract to a company way across the country. That meant they had to make the boosters in sections for shipping. If they’d stuck with the original one-piece plan, those O-rings wouldn’t even have existed to fail.

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      • Nah, the O-ring design would still have been necessary. Back then, and even with today’s technology, there just wasn’t a solid, single-piece booster available. The O-ring actually failed because of the outside temperature. They got advice to wait for it to warm up, but they didn’t, and so the rubber couldn’t form a proper seal as it was supposed to.

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  21. RE: Fact #15 (Iben Browning’s New Madrid Panic) – Wow, his Wikipedia entry is quite something. This Iben Browning fellow, an author, business advisor, and someone who apparently called himself a climatologist. He’s mainly known for making a bunch of disaster predictions about weather, volcanoes, ground tremors, and government failures that never actually came to pass.

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      • It’s wild that so many people actually took him seriously. Honestly, the fault line is super overdue for a big quake, so that probably helped stoke some of their belief. When it last hit, people felt it clear across to New York, and the Mississippi River even started flowing the wrong way! It also created several new lakes, one of them being Reelfoot in Tennessee, which is now a lovely natural area and home to a bunch of bald eagles.

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    • This kind of thing should really be treated like yelling ‘fire’ in a packed place when there isn’t actually one.

      5
      • Seriously, folks actually paid attention to a lunatic’s rants? I think it’s more their problem for falling for it from the start.

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  22. RE: Fact #37 (Dorothy Eady’s Abydos Temple Predictions) – Or… there’s a solid explanation for this — some rogue archaeologists sneaked in and accidentally stumbled upon something. So how do they make this believable, get out of trouble, and not end up in jail? Let’s just say we tell the Egyptians we found a reincarnation of one of the ancient priestesses and she can reveal secrets hidden for centuries. It might not be perfect, but I’m pretty sure it’s not too far off.

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  23. RE: Fact #24 (Blacksmith Predicts President Herbert Hoover) – Herbert Hoover was a solid humanitarian, and that’s partly because he was such a strong businessman. He made his early money as a mining engineer, fixing up mines that were barely profitable. During World War 1, he fed millions in Belgium when the rest of Europe was falling apart and the U.S. government wasn’t ready to step in. The Depression stuff? Yeah, people blamed him a bit unfairly. FDR ran a pretty hard campaign to make it seem like the whole mess was his fault. Hoover actually respected what the Constitution gave him power over, and didn’t think he had the authority to do all the things FDR ended up doing. It wasn’t laziness or indifference like people always say.

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    • He might not have been the worst guy around — but honestly, in the middle of a national crisis, maybe we shouldn’t be stressing about the letter of the law. There’s something to be said about Thurgood Marshall’s mindset — “do what you think is right, and let the law catch up.” Hoover wasn’t a great president, though, to be fair, I can definitely think of worse ones.

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    • Hoover’s administration also sent the police and army to violently break up the Bonus Army protesters. Fun fact, Douglas MacArthur led the charge and had six tanks. For those who don’t know, after WWI, the US promised veterans a payout that was supposed to come in the 1940s. But the Great Depression left many veterans in real trouble, so they asked for the money early. They even marched on Washington. Cue Hoover, who sent troops to crush them. Hoover actually believed he had the authority the Constitution gave him, and didn’t think he had the power to do what FDR ended up doing. This idea that he was completely out of touch with people’s suffering? That’s just wrong. He stuck to 19th century thinking about boom and bust capitalism, never considering that he had fiscal and monetary tools at his disposal. He didn’t think about how weak banking oversight led directly to the 1929 crash. Or how a deposit insurance scheme could’ve helped. Or that he could’ve asked Congress for broad executive powers, like FDR did during the Depression. Hoover’s getting popularity again among fiscal conservatives today, especially after the pandemic. It’s because all that stimulus money going to individuals is just cash that could be used to help corporate interests instead, increasing the deficit. The US is borrowing trillions to pay for it, but that’s fine. The interest rate is super low — just 0.05 percent — and it’s paid back over 30 years. Watch how conservatives push for austerity now, pointing to pandemic spending and blaming it all on the poor and progressives, while credit markets keep happily lending the US trillions at near zero interest. Because really, the only people who should benefit from America’s great credit rating are at the top of the economic ladder, goddammit. Investors keep lending because they believe the US government is safe. Right-of-center folks think this kind of government borrowing steals investment from the private sector and makes things less efficient. Personally, I think the capital markets could pay your rent during a pandemic. They’ll just pull the money back when you go back to being part of the system. Finally, think about clinging to a constitution written in 1989 for a slaveholding, agrarian society. Hoover didn’t think it gave him tools to face the challenges of his time. Twenty-seven amendments later, does it really help us deal with the next century’s problems? Do you want to wait for another do-nothing Hoover to find out? We’ve already had one pandemic that shut down the country for almost a year. What happens when the oceans rise? Or when five Category Five storms hit Louisiana again? Or another pandemic hits? Will the private sector save us? Remember the PPE shortages earlier this year? The Constitution isn’t a suicide pact. Hoover and people like him thought it was. That kind of thinking will kill us all.

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  24. RE: Fact #1 (Baba Vanga’s Secondhand Prophecies Debate) – Just so we’re clear, none of her ‘prophecies’ actually panned out. She was around in Soviet Bulgaria, and they totally hyped her up for their own propaganda. Wanna know what her ‘predictions’ were like? Just picture a really old, conservative woman from a Balkan village back in the Soviet days. She’d say stuff like, the US will get a Black President who’ll mess everything up, and then no one else will be president after that. Or World War III will start when Muslims take over Europe. Asia will get covered in toxic stuff, wiping out lots of people, but Russia will be fine. And parts of Western Europe will just destroy themselves and become unlivable. Basically, more of the same. All those ‘prophecies that came true’ are just plain false. People twist them to match what actually happens, especially those who share her conservative views and want her to be proven right about certain groups bringing down the world. I’m Bulgarian, so for me, there’s absolutely nothing mystical or special about Baba Vanga. Anyone in the comments saying ‘she was right’ is really showing their true colors, lol.

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  25. RE: Fact #25 (Spielberg’s Pulp Fiction Oscar Prediction) – Awards like that are really about people in the industry voting for them. A big piece of it is also studios hiring strategists to campaign for specific awards. If you know a lot about what’s going on behind the scenes, you could actually make a pretty solid guess about who’s gonna win what.

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    • It wasn’t hard to predict either award that year. Both were huge front runners with massive hits. Most Oscar blogs have 80% of the contenders scouted a year in advance.

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  26. RE: Fact #17 (Netflix’s Napoleon Dynamite Algorithm Headache) – Napoleon Dynamite is just such a hilarious film. I can’t even explain why it’s so funny. I guess everything felt really genuine, like you could totally know those characters in real life. It almost seemed like the movie wasn’t even trying to be humorous. Add in that ‘amazing’ improv keyboard soundtrack, and it’s a true comedy gem.

    13
  27. RE: Fact #42 (Darwin’s Long-Tongued Madagascar Moth Prediction) – For Darwin’s moth, it took a bunch of studies over a long time to confirm one of the big predictions in ecology and evolution. Darwin was guessing the existence of a whole new insect species just based on the size of the flower and what he knew about orchids and insects evolving. The moth has a wingspan of about 16cm, but its proboscis is massive—over 20cm long—and curls up like a big coil in front of its head when not in use.

    15
  28. RE: Fact #18 (Aglaonice’s Eclipse-Summoning Moon Predictions) – Hey, just so you know, this whole idea about them actually being astronomers who just made people think they were witches by calling out eclipses? That’s not some brand-new thought. Plutarch, an old writer, actually brought that up himself.

    3
  29. RE: Fact #23 (Alexander Fleming’s Antibiotic Resistance Warning) – I’m watching QI right now and it just mentioned penicillin about five minutes ago. Said it was someone else who found it first and that Fleming basically rediscovered it after the original discovery got ignored.

    12
    • I really love QI. Was it Fry or Toksvig? Both are solid, fair enough. Not surprised about Fleming. That’s just how things are. The Infinite Monkey Cage never covered this!

      6
    • Back then, it was pretty well known that fungi could kill bacteria—just not exactly which ones or how they did it. Fleming was the one who figured out which fungus did it and isolated the chemical that killed the bacteria. Kinda ironic, actually, because he eventually stopped working on penicillin since it was hard to make in large amounts. It wasn’t until 20 years later that Florey and Chain figured out how to scale it up and turn it into a real medicine.

      11
  30. RE: Fact #10 (Roger Boisjoly’s Ignored Challenger Warning) – Later on, with the Columbia disaster, a bunch of engineers and flight directors were super worried about the foam hitting the wing right after takeoff. But Linda Ham and some other high-ranking NASA folks basically brushed off big holes in the wing as “no big deal.” Sadly, they couldn’t have been more wrong. It really highlights how NASA has always struggled with management problems.

    12
    • The truly heartbreaking part about Columbia is there was zero chance to fix anything once it was up in space. Those astronauts were gone the moment the orbiter got into orbit. Just imagine if everyone had known that before it even tried to come back down.

      4
      • They definitely knew about that foam hitting the shuttle; there was even video of it available the day after launch. NASA was aware of foam strikes from earlier missions too, and pretty much just chose to overlook the issue. Later, that same video showed lab tests proving foam could really punch a giant hole in the unreinforced section of the wing. NASA could’ve done more without needing another shuttle involved. They could’ve sent someone on a spacewalk to check for damage, even if they couldn’t fix it. At least then they might have tried a rescue mission.

        5
  31. RE: Fact #27 (Edward Bellamy’s Proto Credit Card) – Man, this book is solid. It’s basically a sharp critique of capitalist society and has one of those wild, vivid passages that just stick with you. Like, this one: “By way of attempting to give the reader some general impression of the way people lived together in those days, and especially of the relations of the rich and poor to one another, perhaps I cannot do better than to compare society as it then was to a prodigious coach which the masses of humanity were harnessed to and dragged toilsomely along a very hilly and sandy road. The driver was hunger, and permitted no lagging, though the pace was necessarily very slow. Despite the difficulty of drawing the coach at all along so hard a road, the top was covered with passengers who never got down, even at the steepest ascents. These seats on top were very breezy and comfortable. Well up out of the dust, their occupants could enjoy the scenery at their leisure, or critically discuss the merits of the straining team. Naturally such places were in great demand and the competition for them was keen, every one seeking as the first end in life to secure a seat on the coach for himself and to leave it to his child after him. By the rule of the coach a man could leave his seat to whom he wished, but on the other hand there were many accidents by which it might at any time be wholly lost. For all that they were so easy, the seats were very insecure, and at every sudden jolt of the coach persons were slipping out of them and falling to next to the ground, where they were instantly compelled to take hold of the rope and help to drag the coach on which they had before ridden so pleasantly. It was naturally regarded as a terrible misfortune to lose one’s seat, and the apprehension that this might happen to them or their friends was a constant cloud upon the happiness of those who rode.”

    10
  32. RE: Fact #46 (Adam Smith’s American Empire Prediction) – I’m sleep deprived and about to pass out, but I read that as “Adam Sandler” and was totally confused for a minute.

    16
  33. RE: Fact #2 (Agassi Cracks Boris Becker’s Tell) – Wow, that’s some next level tennis thinking! Agassi once talked about playing Becker, saying the real challenge wasn’t hitting his serves back, but hiding the fact he knew where they were going. He basically held back from reading Becker’s serves most of the time, just waiting for the perfect moment to use that intel for a game-changing shot. After losing to Becker three times in a row, Agassi ended up beating him eight straight times, including some big wins like the U.S. Open in 1990.

    9
  34. RE: Fact #20 (OSS Psychoanalysis Predicts Hitler’s Collapse) – This report made some really accurate guesses about what Hitler would do later on. For instance, as the war started to go against him, they predicted his emotions would ramp up and he’d have more frequent outbursts. His public appearances would become much less common since he couldn’t deal with people disagreeing with him. They also thought there might be an attempt on his life by German nobility, military officers, or high command, because he had this incredible belief in his own battle instincts. There wouldn’t be any giving up, surrendering, or peace talks either. He’d definitely pursue a path of ideological immortality, aiming for the ultimate revenge on a world he despised. Given what they understood about his mind, the most likely outcome if he faced defeat was suicide. Even though he probably had a massive fear of dying, they figured being a psychopath, he’d just weigh his options and do it anyway.

    8
  35. RE: Fact #28 (Fred Foldvary’s 2008 Housing Prediction) – The other 20 guys who picked different years? Yeah, they’re not as memorable.

    4
  36. RE: Fact #33 (Winston Churchill’s Lab-Grown Meat Vision) – That’s so vague but also totally hilarious if you imagine it as a drunken rant. “I’m not drunk, you’re drunk! In the future they’re gonna grow fields of chicken wings and and and they’re gonna have pizza where the crust is full of cheese too! Mmmhrumph…hmph…hot pockets…zzzzzzzzzz”

    6
  37. RE: Fact #29 (Eisenhower’s Holocaust Denial Prediction Safeguard) – Eisenhower seems really far-sighted. Plus, with his farewell speech, it’s clear he had a solid sense of how people act and which way the winds were blowing.

    7
  38. RE: Fact #38 (Paul The Octopus’ Cup Predictions) – People sent death threats to an octopus? I can’t wrap my head around that. Who is actually dumb enough to threaten an octopus? Haven’t they heard of the vengeful wrath of our Lord and Saviour Cthulu?

    3
    • They weren’t actually sending death threats. If you check the reference, it was just people saying stuff on Twitter, forums, and comment sections. It was about as serious as someone joking about it at the pub.

      9
  39. RE: Fact #30 (Michael Burry’s Metal-Fueled Crash Prediction) – Wasn’t this the guy Christian Bale played in The Big Short?

    18
  40. RE: Fact #47 (Roald Dahl’s Story-Writing Machine Prediction) – And in George Orwell’s 1984, the Ministry of Truth has a whole suite of fiction writing machines that churn out bad books, songs, and porn for the lower classes. “What are these books like?” Winston asked curiously. “Oh, absolute garbage. Boring as hell. They only have six plots, but they mix them up a bit. Of course I was only on the kaleidoscopes. I never made it to the Rewrite Squad. I’m not even close to literary — not even enough for that.”

    17
      • Former cop, Marine, Navy SEAL gets dragged out of retirement for one last mission. A bunch of superheroes or anti-heroes, each with their own weird quirks, have to team up and save the world. An underdog athlete or team faces off against stronger foes and proves themselves through grit and hard work. A shy young guy meets this charming, flashy woman and finally starts opening up. All that Hollywood-style fluff and film culture stuff. Either a cynical take on a tired IP or a love letter to a classic novel. Star Wars.

        2
  41. RE: Fact #2 (Agassi Cracks Boris Becker’s Tell) – Oh, I remember an interview with Andre talking about that Nike ad where he played Sampras on a city street. The director had this video camera on a dolly right at the baseline and told Andre to serve, aiming as close to the lens as he could. Andre, being super precise, asked if they wanted it over, under, left, or right of the lens. The director just brushed it off, like, ‘Just get it really close!’ Andre got a bit annoyed. His very first serve? Smashed the expensive camera lens.

    8
      • Tiger, probably: ‘Hope insurance takes care of that!’ The Director, likely: ‘I really should’ve known better than to tell him to hit the lens.’ Insurance Adjuster: ‘You literally instructed him to destroy the camera. That’s intentional damage, so the claim is denied.’

        4
    • Hitting cans is actually a basic part of learning to serve, so they’re trained for consistent accuracy right from the beginning. My high school coach used to joke about making us aim for coins, which makes me wonder just how incredibly precise the pros must be.

      1
      • It’s the same idea in volleyball. My wife coached 7th-grade girls’ volleyball for a few years, and she really drilled in the basics. One of her go-to practices involved placing candy bars on the floor across the net, then having the girls serve to try and hit them. If they connected, they got the treat! And she made sure all her girls used an overhand serve, no exceptions.

        6
    • I recall seeing an outtake video from a Federer commercial once. In it, someone from the crew put a tennis ball can on their head, and Federer served to knock it right off. So accurate! I haven’t been able to track down that video lately, though.

      5
  42. RE: Fact #21 (Jehovah’s Witnesses’ Serial Apocalypse Predictions) – Go figure, it’s practically like religion isn’t really about facts.

    6
  43. RE: Fact #4 (Lyndon Johnson’s Eerily Accurate Longevity) – If you think about how stressful that job is, he probably wouldn’t have stuck around anywhere near that long anyway.

    16
  44. RE: Fact #6 (Varro’s Invisible Germs Swamp Warning) – He said this as a warning about swamps, for context. His thinking was that while other illnesses stem from different origins, swamps specifically contained these tiny things that could get inside you and cause illness. Maybe he meant bugs, but we really can’t know for sure.

    11
    • If I’m remembering wrong, tell me, but didn’t they connect swamp problems to a harmful ‘miasma,’ which we pretty much agree was malaria now?

      9
      • I’ve heard the same thing, that ‘malaria’ literally means ‘bad air.’ They truly believed just breathing the foul swamp air made you unwell.

        10
    • Roman academics often made some really far-fetched predictions. So it doesn’t surprise me that a handful of those ended up being somewhat correct.

      5
  45. RE: Fact #11 (Oscar The Death-Predicting Nursing-Home Cat) – I guess they can actually sniff out cortisol. That’d make sense for how they figure out when their person is unwell or feeling down. It’s just extra frustrating when the stress you’re feeling is actually *from* your cat dander allergy!

    3
      • Had to look it up, but apparently cortisol goes up a lot during pregnancy, like two to four times more. And my cat? She was completely fixated on me when I was pregnant. Pretty wild!

        8
    • Oh, I totally believe you! But could you point me to an article or two to read? This stuff is super interesting. I’ve got two cats myself, and when I caught covid a few years back, one of them totally turned into my nurse. If I tried to do anything besides grab meds, feed them, or use the restroom, she’d immediately start biting and scratching my feet until I was back in bed. And lying on my side? No way! She’d just slap my face until I rolled onto my back, then she’d plop onto my chest, right in my face, until I passed out. That’s the only time she’s ever been aggressive with me. Even though I had all my vaccine shots and was taking all the over-the-counter stuff for symptoms, I’ll always give her way more credit for probably saving me from the hospital. No question she knew what was going on.

      13
      • When I had covid, it wasn’t just my cats but my aunt’s dogs too, all teamed up to keep me confined to bed. My cats and her dogs usually can’t stand each other, but they actually called a temporary truce and worked together to make sure I stayed put. The moment I was feeling better and moving around again, they went right back to ignoring and hating each other.

        6
  46. RE: Fact #7 (Jules Verne’s Shelved Techno-Future Manuscript) – So, this book is about Michel Dufrénoy, a 16-year-old who finishes his literature and classics studies, but then discovers that in the future, nobody cares about those things anymore. It’s all about business and tech. Turns out, the author was pretty spot on with that observation.

    7
    • That kind of thing was actually a super common idea way back in the 1800s and early 1900s too. Just imagine the Industrial Revolution, folks heading to cities for factory work, and then Romanticism totally reacting against it all.

      2
      • Oh, and don’t forget, the Industrial Revolution also really brought about statistics and measuring how valuable work was strictly by numbers.

        3
  47. RE: Fact #7 (Jules Verne’s Shelved Techno-Future Manuscript) – Jules Verne seriously had a knack for seeing the future, like he was a time traveler or something.

    11
    • He actually foresaw CDs, totally. In The Time Machine, the main character finds out people in the 25th century kept their info on these silver discs you had to spin around to check out!

      5
  48. RE: Fact #12 (Gonzalo Garcia-Pelayo’s Biased Roulette Windfall) – Damn, can’t win big without getting sued. 600k is decent, but figured you’d get a bit more before they take you to court. what a load of sh*t

    12
    • there are ways to beat the casino, like card counting or getting them to give you more freeplay than you lose. all legal. but when they notice you’re winning too much, they’ll stop you. sometimes they’ll even ban you and send a letter saying you’re not welcome back. happened to me, banned from a few casinos for taking too much cash

      5
      • card counting is getting rare on main floors due to autodecks. private rooms might still have manual, but even those are getting phased out. saw a high roller who might’ve been counting, but they didn’t kick him out since he was losing big on other tables

        1
      • yeah that’s more like it. 600k in a day is pretty cool. surprised they didn’t just kick him out after that. probably thought they could win it back from him

        3
  49. RE: Fact #15 (Iben Browning’s New Madrid Panic) – Even now, thirty years later, we’re still giving way too much attention and belief to total crackpots who don’t actually know what they’re talking about.

    16
  50. RE: Fact #46 (Adam Smith’s American Empire Prediction) – The British people succeed despite their government, not because of it.

    12
  51. RE: Fact #18 (Aglaonice’s Eclipse-Summoning Moon Predictions) – Picture this: you can actually tell the future, and you totally use that to get ahead in society and politics. You’d really need to be a pro at figuring out what people are thinking, shaping their views, and reacting to any shifts. So, Aglaonice says, ‘Lunar eclipse coming up May 26th, 2021. What’s our angle?’ Then Witch Two jumps in, ‘How about we get everyone in town to stop planting beets? I really can’t stand them.’ Witch Three chimes, ‘Yeah, me neither! We should make them switch to growing carrots.’ Aglaonice agrees, ‘Alright, that’s a plan. We’ll crash the beet market come next spring.’ But then Witch Two says, ‘Oops, turns out there was some kind of plant disease last year, so no one’s planting beets this year anyway. We need a different use for that eclipse.’ Aglaonice thinks, ‘Our jerky supply is running low. What if we make everyone sacrifice a goat and bring it to us? We’ll set the deadline for May 25th, and warn them that if they’re late, *they’re* the reason the moon goes dark. If the moon vanishes, no one will know when to harvest! Anyone who doesn’t cough up will be totally freaked when it glows red on the 26th.’ Witch Three loves it: ‘Sounds good to me!’

    6
    • Yeah, that whole situation is pretty much exactly what I pictured after checking out the Wikipedia article. Though, Plutarch’s take on it makes it sound more like Aglaonice was the only astronomer, and she just used what she knew to make other women believe she was a sorceress. That’s still a way to get power, I guess, socially and politically. But honestly, I’d rather think she shared all that brainpower with her buddies and got them in on the whole plan.

      8
  52. RE: Fact #46 (Adam Smith’s American Empire Prediction) – The 13 colonies could’ve crushed the British Empire with a lot of help from our old friends, the French, of course.

    17
  53. RE: Fact #36 (Abraham De Moivre’s Sleep Prediction) – I’m also pretty sure I’m gonna die while sleeping and not wake up.

    17
      • Okay, so 48 isn’t really important for this chat, but I saw everyone else throwing out ages in the facts above, so I figured 48 deserved its moment.

        4
  54. RE: Fact #2 (Agassi Cracks Boris Becker’s Tell) – Alright, here’s a little story. When I was a senior in high school, our tennis coach told me we’d have a really strong player named Agassi joining us the following year. Well, he never actually showed up for high school. He ended up going to the Bollettieri tennis camp and turned pro instead. Honestly, as I’m writing this, I’m realizing it’s not a very exciting tale.

    8
  55. RE: Fact #24 (Blacksmith Predicts President Herbert Hoover) – Hoover’s still seen as a terrible president, kind of like Grant.

    8
    • Oh no way, you’re not saying bad things about my guy Grant. He beat the South while drunk off his ass, crushed the first KKK, and risked a lot of political capital to push Black rights during Reconstruction — that doesn’t deserve this kind of trash treatment. Unless you’re talking about how he treated Native Americans, which was pretty bad.

      8
    • So, Hoover’s standing’s actually starting to get better among historians. People are realizing he was totally out of his depth back then—the country had never faced anything like that, and Congress was just as unprepared. You can’t even get to the First New Deal without the mess of 1929 to 1932. But he still has to take responsibility for how badly he handled the Bonus Army.

      9
  56. RE: Fact #21 (Jehovah’s Witnesses’ Serial Apocalypse Predictions) – Growing up, my folks’ pastor totally fell for that whole ’88 reasons the rapture would happen in 1988′ thing. Like, half the church actually showed up right when it was supposed to happen, dressed up in their Sunday clothes, waiting to ascend.

    7
  57. RE: Fact #40 (Mohan Srivastava’s Scratch-Off Lottery Hack) – Man, it’s a shame you can’t choose your ticket. You just get the next one that comes along.

    15
  58. RE: Fact #23 (Alexander Fleming’s Antibiotic Resistance Warning) – Recently, phage therapy has been getting more attention because of the rise in antibiotic resistance. This kind of therapy existed way before the golden age of antibiotics — it uses viruses that specifically target and kill certain bacteria. But once antibiotics came along, research on phage therapy kind of fell off because antibiotics were seen as a “magic bullet,” something that could quickly treat any bacterial infection without needing to identify which bacteria was causing it.

    2
  59. RE: Fact #41 (Akira’s Tokyo 2020 Olympic Prediction) – Don’t forget, it also predicted that giant blob monster. Who could forget the great blob monster attack of 2019? That was such a weird year.

    9
  60. RE: Fact #11 (Oscar The Death-Predicting Nursing-Home Cat) – Right now, I’m totally giving my cat the side-eye because he’s suddenly decided to start curling up next to me a lot.

    9
    • That probably added to all the behaviors mentioned in the original fact. His drug intake definitely fueled a lot of that stuff.

      3
      • Can you even imagine hiring some shady doctor and keeping him closer than your actual friends, just because you needed those amphetamines to stay focused on your whole hateful mission?

        7
  61. RE: Fact #19 (Camille Jenatzy’s Mercedes Death Prediction) – Now, are we really sure this wasn’t murder, and Madoux just made up the story afterward?

    11
    • He died during a hunting trip when his friend Alfred Madoux shot him in the thigh. There are actually two versions of the story from different sources. One, from Hemmings, says Jenatzy thought it would be hilarious to hide in some bushes and grunt like a wild boar. He was so good at it that he tricked Madoux into shooting. But another source, Drive, suggests it might not have been an accident, considering Madoux was married to Jenatzy’s mistress, so the boar prank could have just been a convenient cover for murder.

      5
    • My first thought was, ‘Just how many folks were hunting with him?’ Two people aren’t exactly tough to keep quiet, or they could have already been in on it.

      5
  62. RE: Fact #17 (Netflix’s Napoleon Dynamite Algorithm Headache) – So, the guy who acted as Pedro actually became a DJ. Every now and then, he’d drop in those ‘vote for Pedro’ lines from the film.

    11

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