40 Unlikely Facts About the Odds of Common Events

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1Remarkable Betting Wins

Remarkable Betting Wins

In 1989, a man placed a £30 bet on four events occurring by January 1, 2000: U2 still being active, Cliff Richard being knighted, EastEnders remaining a weekly BBC show, and Neighbours and Home and Away still airing on British TV. He was given odds of 6,479-1 and collected £194,400 in January 2000.


2. In 2004, Rory McIlroy's father placed a £200 ($341) bet at 500-1 odds that his son would win the British Open within the next 10 years. When McIlroy won the tournament in 2014, his father earned $171,000 from the wager.


3. The odds of being attacked by a candiru, also known as the "penis invading fish," are roughly equivalent to being struck by lightning while simultaneously being eaten by a shark.


4. The Yoruba people have the highest probability of producing twins globally. This likelihood is attributed to their consumption of a specific type of yam that releases a hormone capable of causing the ovaries to release an egg from each side.


5. In 1990, Mike Godwin introduced Godwin's Law, which pertains to Nazi analogies. It states that as an online discussion progresses, regardless of the topic, the probability of a comparison to Adolf Hitler or the Nazis approaches 1.


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6Missouri Earthquake Risk

Missouri Earthquake Risk

Southern Missouri encompasses an earthquake zone where a magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurred in the early 1800s. The region's bedrock characteristics allow earthquakes to affect an area 20 times larger than quakes in California. There is a 1 in 10 chance of another earthquake within the next 50 years.


7. A research paper claimed that individuals who jump out of an airplane with an empty backpack have the same chances of survival as those who jump with a parachute. However, the paper only addressed scenarios where the plane was grounded in the latter part.


8. In 1994, the family of 13-year-old Chris Kirkland placed a bet at 100-1 odds that their son would one day play for Team England. The bet proved successful in 2006 when Kirkland, now a goalkeeper, played for England in a match against Greece, resulting in the family winning £10,000.


9. Despite the perceived low odds, 93% of lost dogs are reunited with their owners. Even after being lost for 24 hours, 55% to 65% of dogs are found and returned.


10. Even a reliable, non-defective calculator can occasionally experience a random error known as a soft error, where it may produce an isolated mistake (e.g., returning 2+2=5). The chances of encountering such an error are incredibly low, with cosmic rays being an interesting source of the problem.


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11Extraordinary Roulette Streak

Extraordinary Roulette Streak

On August 18, 1913, at the Monte Carlo Casino, the roulette wheel landed on black for 26 consecutive spins. The odds of this occurrence are approximately 1 in 66.6 million. Many gamblers lost millions of francs as they continually (and incorrectly) believed that red was due to come up next.


12. The odds of winning jackpots at slot machines range from 1 in 5000 to 1 in 34 million when using the maximum coin play.


13. The odds of dying in a car accident are 1 in 5,000, while the odds of dying in a plane crash are 1 in 11 million. Moreover, even if you are involved in a plane crash, statistically, you have a 76% chance of survival.


14. A coin flip actually has a probability of 51/49 for landing heads or tails, favoring the side facing up when flipped. However, if you spin a US penny on its side, there is an 80% chance of it landing with its tail facing up.


15. The widowhood effect refers to the increased probability of a person dying shortly after their long-time spouse's death. This pattern shows a significant rise in the risk of death for the widower, particularly within the three months following the spouse's passing.


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16Lost Pets: One in Three

Lost Pets: One in Three

Approximately one in three pets will become lost at some point during their lifetime.


17. Roughly one in 2,000 people in the UK is a carrier of variant CJD, commonly known as "mad cow" disease, which is linked to consuming contaminated beef. However, it is unclear if those who contract the infectious agent can transmit it to others, and only a small number of people who catch it develop symptoms.


18. During the American West of the 1800s, up to one in four Texan cowboys were African Americans, and the number of Mexican cowboys was even greater.


19. The chances of unintentionally ingesting even a single spider while sleeping throughout our lifetime are close to zero.


20. Jimmy the Greek Snyder placed a $10,000 bet at 17-1 odds on Harry Truman defeating Thomas Dewey in the 1948 election, based on the notion that "American women didn't trust men with a mustache," as Dewey had one. In today's dollars, that bet netted him over $1.7 million.


21Airplane Crash Survival by Seat

Airplane Crash Survival by Seat

The farther back you sit on an airplane, the higher your odds of survival in the event of a crash. Passengers near the tail of the plane have approximately a 40% higher chance of surviving a crash compared to those in the first few rows at the front.


22. When consuming cocaine, the risk of having a heart attack in the next hour increases by 24 times, or 2,400%.


23. In 1960, David Threlfall placed a £10 bet at odds of 1,000/1 that a man would walk on the moon before the end of the decade. Initially considered foolish by bookies, nine years later David collected £10,000.


24. Benford's Law states that in natural sets of numbers (such as river lengths, city populations, and financial transactions), the probability of the first number is not even. There is a 30% chance for a number to start with 1, but only a 5% chance for it to start with 9. This law is so reliable that it is used to detect fraud.


25. The probability of dying within one year decreases from birth, reaching its lowest point around age 10, and increases each year thereafter.

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1 COMMENT

  1. RE: Fact #33 (Dinosaur Pee Water) – I would think that by now all dinosaur pee made its way to the ocean. The water we drink now evaporated from the ocean leaving the pee and taking the water. Don’t think we are drinking dinosaur pee.

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